KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual70° or below 48.1%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,7 mil €
Liquidez
4,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
52.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
27 jul 26, 14:0029 jul 26, 8:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
70° or below52%
Comparar plataformas· 70° or below
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 52% | — | 4,7 mil € | 4,3 mil € | hace 27 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa86% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 41% | — | 8,7 mil € | 22,2 mil € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 28?
2.0 pts5h
+5.0pt39%
+5.0pt26.7%
-3.5pt15.2%
+8 resultados más
51 • Calidad mediaSpread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total12,9 mil €
Volumen 24h8,7 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$5.3k27 jul2d de datos28 jul
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.