KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual70° to 71° 41.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,5 mil €
Liquidez
8,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
26 jul 26, 14:0028 jul 26, 8:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
74° to 75°5%
Comparar plataformas· 70° to 71°
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general86% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 48% | — | 8,7 mil € | 22,5 mil € | hace 5 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMás activa | Media | 46% | — | 11,5 mil € | 8,2 mil € | hace 25 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 27?
5.0 ptsEsperando resolucion
+16.5pt47.1%
-6.5pt26.5%
-3.0pt16.7%
+8 resultados más
74 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total11 mil €
Volumen 24h8,7 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 27, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$13.1k26 jul2d de datos27 jul
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 27, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.