What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
16.0 pts (24h)One-OffWeather2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Hanna 37.6%+16.0ptLíder entre 21 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
78 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
11,7 mil €
Liquidez
293,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
15 may 26, 22:00 UTC1 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
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KalshiHurricane Fay category?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
- Seattle+3.0pt98%
- Providence+30.0pt95%
- Boston+2.0pt72%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 163,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 155,3 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
- 80° or below79.6%
- 81° to 82°12%
- 83° to 84°4.6%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 64,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 63,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
- 69° to 70°44.3%
- 71° to 72°30.2%
- 67° to 68°17.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 38,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 37,7 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
- 89° to 90°40.4%
- 87° to 88°26.6%
- 91° to 92°23.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 36,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 36,3 mil €
KALSHIHurricane Fay category?
- Category 1 or above-4.0pt10%
- Category 5 or above+7.0pt8%
- Category 2 or above-3.0pt4%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 45,8 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Madrid on September 26?
- 33°C+11.0pt42%
- 34°C-13.5pt42%
- 35°C-3.0pt10%
+8 resultados más
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- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 26?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- Kalshi cotiza Hanna al 37.6% a fecha de 25 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- Está previsto que What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? se resuelva el 1 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.