KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Above $20/MWh (88%)
Resuelto: 24 oct 2026, 18:01
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 24 oct 2026, 15:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Above $65/MWh1%
Above $100/MWh2%
Above $40/MWh98%
Above $20/MWh88%
Above $30/MWh85%
Above $50/MWh5%
Above $200/MWh11%
Above $40/MWhPerdida
Antes del cierre: 98% ·
Above $20/MWhGanada
Antes del cierre: 88% ·
Above $30/MWhPerdida
Antes del cierre: 85% ·
Above $200/MWhPerdida
Antes del cierre: 11% ·
Above $50/MWhPerdida
Antes del cierre: 5% ·
Above $100/MWhPerdida
Antes del cierre: 2% ·
Above $65/MWhPerdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
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PolymarketReglas
If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Electric Reliability Council of Texas, Inc. (ERCOT)
- Period: October 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 23, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above $40/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $40/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $20/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $30/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $30/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $200/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $200/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $50/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $50/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $100/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $100/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $65/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $65/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.