KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Exactly 2.6% (1%)
Resuelto: 14 jul 2026, 13:13
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 14 jul 2026, 12:10 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Exactly 2.6%
- Registrado
- 16 jul 2026, 6:55
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualExactly 2.8% 46.1%-1.0ptLíder entre 16 opciones
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
36,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 29.0%
Spread
24.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 días
Desactualizado15 dic 25, 15:0014 jul 26, 12:29
Cronología de Probabilidad
Exactly 2.9%33%
Exactly 2.7%12%
Exactly 2.8%54%
10.4%
46.1%
0.9%
29.6%
0.9%
0.9%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Exactly 2.8%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 53% | — | 1,3 mil € | 36,4 mil € | hace 13 días | |
 PolymarketMás activa85% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 20,5 mil € | 0 € | hace 12 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Core CPI YoY - June 2026
53.0 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
2.6% (100%)
+99.9pt100%
0%
0%
+7 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total39,6 mil €
Volumen 24h20,5 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.2% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.3% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.4% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.5% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.6% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.7% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.5k2 jul13d de datos14 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?
33,4 €Exactly 2.6%: 8%KALSHI
KALSHICPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026?
0 €Exactly 2.2%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHICPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026?
0 €Exactly 2.2%: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
97,6 mil €Sí: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
70 mil €October Meeting: 74%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US Core PCE (June 2026)
5,4 mil €0.0: 98%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActivos en estos temas
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If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.2% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.3% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.4% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.5% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.6% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.7% in Jun 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.