Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24h)Política

KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Este mercado se resolvió: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Resuelto: 1 jun 2026, 13:18

Resultado Ganador

Abelardo de la Espriella

A 7 días

—

A 24 horas

24%

Sorpresa

Probabilidad implícita actual

Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Calidad del mercado

79 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

3,1 mil €

Liquidez

4 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Spread estrecho

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 días

Desactualizado

5 mar 26, 15:0031 may 27, 14:00

Cronología de Probabilidad

Abelardo de la Espriella96%

Iván Cepeda Castro61%

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Abelardo de la Espriella

+74.4%

96%

Iván Cepeda Castro

-76.3%

Paloma Valencia

Sergio Fajardo

Daniel Quintero

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

Reglas

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Mercados Relacionados

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 M €

July 31: 86%

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

924,8 mil €

Jordan Bardella: 27%

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

847,8 mil €

Gavin Newsom: 23%

POLYMARKET

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

15,1 mil €

Democratic Party: 96.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9,2 mil €

Democratic Party: 92.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Starmer out before July?

9,1 mil €

Sí: 17.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,159.92+1.22%

SolanaSOL$67.95+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.88%

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+1.22%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.50%

Noticias Relacionadas

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.News

House GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraph

Crypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.News

Crypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Reglas

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24h)Política

KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Este mercado se resolvió: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Resuelto: 1 jun 2026, 13:18

Resultado Ganador

Abelardo de la Espriella

A 7 días

—

A 24 horas

24%

Sorpresa

Probabilidad implícita actual

Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Calidad del mercado

79 / 100

Alta calidad

Volumen 24h

3,1 mil €

Liquidez

4 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Spread estrecho

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 días

Desactualizado

5 mar 26, 15:0031 may 27, 14:00

Cronología de Probabilidad

Abelardo de la Espriella96%

Iván Cepeda Castro61%

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Abelardo de la Espriella

+74.4%

96%

Iván Cepeda Castro

-76.3%

Paloma Valencia

Sergio Fajardo

Daniel Quintero

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

Reglas

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Mercados Relacionados

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 M €

July 31: 86%

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

924,8 mil €

Jordan Bardella: 27%

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

847,8 mil €

Gavin Newsom: 23%

POLYMARKET

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

15,1 mil €

Democratic Party: 96.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9,2 mil €

Democratic Party: 92.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Starmer out before July?

9,1 mil €

Sí: 17.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,159.92+1.22%

SolanaSOL$67.95+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.88%

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+1.22%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.50%

Noticias Relacionadas

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.News

House GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraph

Crypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.News

Crypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Reglas

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.