KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Claude (97%)
Resuelto: 31 jul 2026, 15:28
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 jul 2026, 13:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Claude 91.5%+1.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
65,8 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 39 días
Desactualizado1 jul 26, 4:00 UTC31 jul 26, 14:00 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
Kimi2%
ChatGPT2%
91.5%
1.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:DeepSWE
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- If ChatGPT is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gemini is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Grok is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- Game 2 Winner+42.5pt100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Top Coding AI this month?
- Kalshi cotiza Claude al 92% a fecha de 31 de julio de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Top Coding AI this month?
- Está previsto que Top Coding AI this month se resuelva el 31 de julio de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Top Coding AI this month?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.