Probabilidad implícita actual
Count Binface Party 64.5%+4.0ptLíder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
455,9 €
Liquidez
20,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
76.0% / 78.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
9 jul 26, 15:3013 ago 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Count Binface Party78%
Comparar plataformas· Tony Mack
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general80% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 1% | 0pt | 13,9 mil € | 294,3 mil € | hace 5 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Media | 1% | 0pt | 455,9 € | 20,4 mil € | hace 25 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
1.5 pts11m
+1.5pt78%
50%
50%
+50 resultados más
74 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volumen total261,8 mil €
Volumen 24h13,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.6k78.0%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSellerhace 16 h
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSellerhace 16 h$3.2k75.2%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman8hace 4 d
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman8hace 4 d$2.8k94.4%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest669hace 12 d
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest669hace 12 d$1.1k90.5%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogrothhace 17 d
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogrothhace 17 d$1.2k80.6%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunterhace 19 d
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunterhace 19 dTendencia de volumen
$5199 jul19d de datos27 jul
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If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.