Probabilidad implícita actual
Alexander Dobrindt 1%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
22,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
21 jul 26, 17:488 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Alexander Dobrindt1%
Operaciones grandes
$1.7k90.0%
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yesanteayer
KALSHIThorsten Frei — YesanteayerTendencia de volumen
$1.5k21 jul6d de datos26 jul
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If Thorsten Frei formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Carsten Linnemann formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexander Dobrindt formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nina Warken formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.