KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Hike 1-25bps (99%)
Resuelto: 16 jul 2026, 1:35
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 16 jul 2026, 0:50 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Hike 1-25bps
- Registrado
- 17 jul 2026, 15:38
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actualHike 1-25bps 91.7%+8.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
7,5 mil €
Liquidez
24,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 6.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 días
Desactualizado27 may 26, 18:0016 jul 26, 0:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Maintain current rate2%
Hike 1-25bps99%
1.9%
0.9%
91.7%
4.6%
0.9%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Hike 1-25bps
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 99% | — | 7,5 mil € | 24,6 mil € | hace 12 días | |
 Polymarket63% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 4,2 mil € | 0 € | hace 11 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Bank of Korea decision in July?
3.2 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Increase (100%)
+4.9pt100%
0%
-3.2pt0%
25 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total171,9 mil €
Volumen 24h4,2 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$3.1k88.0%POLYMARKETWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting? — Yesfiregoldhace 19 d
POLYMARKETWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting? — Yesfiregoldhace 19 dTendencia de volumen
$8.5k2 jul15d de datos16 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Bank of Korea rate decision in August
4,4 €Maintain current rate: 71%KALSHI
KALSHI
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
98,5 €Sí: 30%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lisa Cook departure announced?
35,6 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
3,4 mil €25 bps decrease: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
251,3 €Maintains rate: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August
8,3 mil €No change: 81%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Crypto market breakout could accelerate as AI trade cools, analyst saysCointelegraphCrypto market breakout could accelerate as AI trade cools, analyst saysCointelegraph
BIS warns stablecoins could weaken capital controls in emerging marketsCointelegraph
Bitcoin nears seven-week high as stocks ignore Iran strikes, Trump 10% tariff plansCointelegraph
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsReglas
If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).