KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualHike more than 25bps 3%-1.0%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
24,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
200.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
16 jun 26, 20:0031 jul 26, 2:29
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Hike more than 25bps3%
Comparar plataformas· Maintain current rate
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMás activa | 98% | — | 2,5 mil € | 84,8 mil € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | 91% | — | 2 mil € | 24,4 mil € | hace 2 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
1.2%22d
+1.2%98%
+0.1%1%
-0.8%1%
+2 resultados más
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total93,8 mil €
Volumen 24h2,5 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2.3k2 jul7d de datos8 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Bank of England decision in September?
7,4 mil €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in July?
3,1 mil €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of India decision in August
1,3 mil €No Change: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in July
1,2 mil €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August
630,2 €Maintain current rate: 68%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in July
198,4 €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).