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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Regulación
  3. Will the carried interest loophole be closed?
Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

RegulaciónOne-OffPolíticaUS Politics6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 8%
Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

0 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

2.0% / 24.0%

Spread

1100.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

14 may 26, 20:001 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
0%
Before Jan 1, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2029
0%
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2030
0%

Resultado elegido

Before Jan 1, 20278%

Reglas

If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates.
  • The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000).
  • Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,812.72+2.63%EthereumETH$1,656.80+2.36%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.86%XRPXRP$1.12+0.93%BNBBNB$599.08+2.48%

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Reglas

If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates.
  • The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000).
  • Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.