KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
48 64%Líder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
32,6 €
Liquidez
6,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
5 feb 26, 0:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketReglas
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the State of California
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- Kalshi cotiza 48 al 64% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- Está previsto que How many House seats will Democrats win in California? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.