KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 87%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
2 mar 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Patek Philippe
Mercados abiertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 351,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 351,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 resultados más
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Está previsto que Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.