KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Sanction (99%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 24 ago 2026, 17:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sanction 99%Líder entre 23 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
39,7 mil €
Liquidez
37,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado24 ago 26, 12:158 sept 26, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Sanction94%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
Nuclear35%
Event does not qualify0%
Blockade1%
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency1%
Iran / Iranian (5+ times)80%
China / Chinese1%
Hormuz1%
Inflation1%
Tariff1%
Economic D-Day / Economic Fury1%
Trump (3+ times)80%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline78%
Russia / Russian1%
Stock Market1%
GDP1%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax1%
Israel / Israeli1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Ceasefire1%
America First1%
Drone1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Reglas
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Scott Bessent speaking in an official capacity.
