GeminiDatos verificados limitadosProbabilidad implícita actual
JD Vance 18.5%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
103,5 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
19 feb 26, 18:2810 nov 28, 0:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
JD Vance19%
Comparar plataformas· JD Vance
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general80% de coincidencia · vinculado | Alta | 18% | -2pt | 375,5 mil € | 34,5 M € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Polymarket85% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 20% | 0pt | 371,8 mil € | 44 M € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baja | 19% | -1pt | 103,5 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | |
 Futuur85% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 28% | +8pt | 0 € | 16 mil € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Myriad83% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 42% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets85% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 18% | -2pt | 233,3 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless91% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
50%
50%
50%
+4 resultados más
22 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total14,6 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
20%
-0.2pt12%
12%
+125 resultados más
74 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total588,9 M €
Volumen 24h371,8 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2a
-0.3pt17.5%
16.5%
+0.2pt15.2%
+42 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario1008 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
17.5%
10.9%
10%
+37 resultados más
27 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total284,7 mil €
Volumen 24h233,3 €
SMARKETSTambién disponible en Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3m
28%
28%
26%
+2 resultados más
42 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURTambién disponible en Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
5.7 pts2a
-0.1pt41.6%
-0.1pt19.8%
+0.2pt10.8%
+28 resultados más
30 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
MYRIADTambién disponible en Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.5 pts3a
17%
17%
11.3%
+27 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total48 M €
Volumen 24h375,5 mil €
KALSHIReglas
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.3k83.0%KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noanteayer
KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noanteayer$1.7k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — Nohace 3 d
KALSHITucker Carlson — Nohace 3 d$3.3k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — Nohace 3 d
KALSHITucker Carlson — Nohace 3 d$1.4k13.9%POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbithace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbithace 3 d$3.7k19.9%POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgateshace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgateshace 3 d$1.8k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Briskethace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Briskethace 3 d$1.1k97.3%KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohace 5 d
KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohace 5 d$2.5k97.5%KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohace 5 d
KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohace 5 dMercados Relacionados
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.