GeminiDatos verificados limitadosAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 27 jul 2026, 4:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual6,300 or below 99%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
3 mar 26, 11:3731 dic 26, 21:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
6,300 or below99%
Comparar plataformas· 6,300 or below
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general88% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 31% | 0pt | 444,4 € | 306,2 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baja | 99% | +68pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 18 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
How low will the S&P get this year?
0.5 pts5m
+0.2pt28.7%
-0.5pt26.9%
+0.1pt19.4%
+2 resultados más
76 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total655,9 mil €
Volumen 24h444,4 €
KALSHIReglas
How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$6.6k86.0%KALSHI5,900 or below — Nohace 13 d
KALSHI5,900 or below — Nohace 13 dMercados Relacionados
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How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.