Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2m
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 90%
No 90%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
724,4 €
Baja liquidezTraders
2
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket2026 Texas Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
This market predicts whether Donald Trump will cease to exercise the powers of the U.S. presidency for a continuous period of at least 48 hours during calendar year 2026.
- If, at any point in this period, Donald Trump does not exercise the powers of the U.S. presidency for a continuous period of 48 hours or more — whether due to a 25th Amendment transfer, death, resignation, removal from office, or any documented incapacity preventing the exercise of presidential authority — this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is official White House communications (whitehouse.gov), the Federal Register, and statements from the Office of the Vice President or the Acting President during the relevant period.
- A consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm a continuous 48-hour-plus period of actual non-exercise of powers.
- In ambiguous edge cases, resolution will follow the spirit of the question.