Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against an STF justice by the end of 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffAmérica Latina1a
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 69%
No 69%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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1,4 mil €
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
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This market counts only acts between October 9, 2026, 11:43 UTC and December 31, 2027, 23:59 Brasília time (January 1, 2028, 02:59 UTC).
- It resolves "Yes" as soon as the Senate formally receives and reads in plenary an impeachment complaint against a sitting STF Justice, per the Senate's official record — whether or not the Justice is eventually removed.
- FULL DETAILS
- If, at any time between October 9, 2026, 11:43 UTC and December 31, 2027, 23:59 Brasília time (January 1, 2028, 02:59 UTC), the Federal Senate of Brazil formally opens an impeachment proceeding against a sitting Justice (ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) — meaning that a complaint (denúncia) for a crime of responsibility against that Justice is formally received by the President of the Senate and read in a plenary session for referral to a special committee, as provided in Law 1,079/1950 — this market will immediately resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Proceedings opened before October 9, 2026, 11:43 UTC are not taken into account, even if the condition was met at an earlier date.
- The Primary Designated Source is the official record of the Federal Senate (Diário do Senado Federal and the proceeding's page on senado.leg.br).
