FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 81%
Sí 81%Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
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KalshiWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurWill Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts whether Mike Johnson will remain Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records of the U.S. House of Representatives confirming the Speakership.
- If Mike Johnson officially remains Speaker of the House through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he is formally removed, resigns, or is replaced through a process recognized under U.S. House rules before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official action.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations.
