Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026?
Política de EE. UU.One-Off1m
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 80%
No 80%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baja liquidezTraders
7
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This event predicts whether the membership (composition) of the Supreme Court of the United States will change at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a “change in composition” means that at least one Justice leaves the Court (e.g., resignation, retirement, death) and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in to fill a seat.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements and records from the Supreme Court of the United States regarding its membership (e.g., official website communications) and the official record of any swearing-in.
- If at least one Justice leaves the Court and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary changes due to recusals or other temporary absences will not count.
