U.S. Election Cycles
Track recurring U.S. election-cycle catalysts across midterms and presidential cycles.
Election cycleCycle
Next catalyst: U.S. Election Cycles · September 24, 2026 · September 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM
Compare-ready catalysts
0
These upcoming catalyst instances already carry approved cross-source linkage, so compare/alignment value remains available inside the recurring family.
Source footprint
6
The recurring family inherits the source footprint of its linked catalysts rather than inventing a separate data model.
Recurring cadence
Cycle
Cadence stays descriptive and lightweight in v1 so recurring research surfaces remain easy to reason about.
How this family is grouped
This recurring layer stays conservative: a catalyst only joins this family when its title or linked-market family clearly matches these signals.
MidtermsU.S. HouseU.S. SenatePresidential election
Sources
The recurring family inherits the source footprint of its linked catalysts rather than inventing a separate data model.
GEMINI
KALSHI
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MYRIAD
POLYMARKET
PREDICTITUpcoming catalyst instances
These upcoming catalyst instances reuse the current catalyst layer and preview the linked prediction markets directly on the page.
Sep 24, 2026, 2:00 PMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · September 24, 2026
7 linked markets·1 Sources
KALSHILinked markets
Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHIWhat will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHIWhat will Ted Cruz say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHINov 2, 2026, 12:00 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · November 2, 2026
11 linked markets·2 Sources
MANIFOLD MARKETSPOLYMARKETLinked markets
U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump becomes President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
POLYMARKETNov 3, 2026, 12:00 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · November 3, 2026
50 linked markets·5 Sources
Gap live
KALSHIMANIFOLD MARKETSMYRIADPOLYMARKETPREDICTITLinked markets
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
POLYMARKETWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
POLYMARKETRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
POLYMARKETNov 4, 2026, 12:00 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · November 4, 2026
21 linked markets·2 Sources
Gap live
KALSHIMANIFOLD MARKETSLinked markets
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the midterm elections take place on November 3rd?
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
MANIFOLD MARKETSNov 5, 2026, 12:00 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · November 5, 2026
5 linked markets·1 Sources
MANIFOLD MARKETSLinked markets
Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
MANIFOLD MARKETSElon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
MANIFOLD MARKETSNov 6, 2026, 4:59 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · November 6, 2026
4 linked markets·2 Sources
MANIFOLD MARKETSPOLYMARKETLinked markets
Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich party will win white women in the midterms?
POLYMARKETWhich party will win Latino men in the midterms?
POLYMARKETRecent catalyst instances
Recent instances stay visible here when the current data still supports them, so the recurring family has context beyond the next catalyst.
Sep 11, 2026, 4:25 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · September 11, 2026
3 linked markets·1 Sources
KALSHILinked markets
What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHIWho will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?
KALSHISep 10, 2026, 4:10 AMFamily cluster
U.S. Election Cycles · September 10, 2026
3 linked markets·1 Sources
KALSHILinked markets
What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KALSHIWhat will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHIWhat will Ken Paxton say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KALSHI