Current implied probability
Cleveland 58%
Cleveland 58%Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$101K
Liquidity
$45.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 59.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will win the October 3 the named outcome vs Cleveland Pro Baseball game? Contracts resolve based on the result of the the named outcome vs Cleveland Pro Baseball game originally scheduled on October 3, 2026 at 12:00pm CT, as determined by the Source Agency match results.
- The winning team is determined by the final score at the conclusion of play, including all extra innings.
- Possible outcomes are the named outcome wins or Cleveland wins.
- Resolution occurs once the first final result is reported by the Source Agency.
- If the game is shortened, called, or otherwise ended prior to the regulation number of innings, and the Source Agency declares the game and records a result, the market will resolve based on that result.
- If the game is postponed, all contracts will remain open until the rescheduled game completes, provided it completes before the contract's final expiration date and time.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Cleveland is 57%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Cleveland 57% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread · Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs 38%
- Also available on Gemini — Chicago WS vs Cleveland · Cleveland 58%
