PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, 4:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 2, 26, 4:07 PMAug 4, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
XRP$1.08 → $1.08+0.0%
0%
100%
Related Cryptos
Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Aug 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.