Settled by the venue, market by market: Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 12:34 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 100%+50.5ptLeader of 17 outcomes
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 100%+50.5ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$318.8K
Liquidity
$92.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$263K
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 10:14 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Set 1 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu — Xinran Sun88%
Xinran Sun66%
Sun vs. Liu: Match O/U 21.5 — Over59%
Completed Match55%
Sun vs. Liu: Match O/U 22.5 — Over52%
Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu — Xinran Sun51%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over49%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over49%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over49%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over49%
Game Spread: Claire Liu (-3.5) vs Xinran Sun (+3.5) — Claire Liu47%
Sun vs. Liu: Match O/U 23.5 — Over47%
Set Handicap: Claire Liu (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5) — Claire Liu40%
Xinran Sun vs. Claire Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.537%
Set Handicap: Xinran Sun (-1.5) vs Claire Liu (+1.5) — Xinran Sun24%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Set 1 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu — Xinran Sun88%
Xinran Sun66%
Sun vs. Liu: Match O/U 21.5 — Over59%
Completed Match55%
Sun vs. Liu: Match O/U 22.5 — Over52%
Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu — Xinran Sun51%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Game Spread: Claire Liu (-3.5) vs Xinran Sun (+3.5) — Claire Liu47%
Sun vs. Liu: Match O/U 23.5 — Over47%
Set Handicap: Claire Liu (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5) — Claire Liu40%
Xinran Sun vs. Claire Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.537%
Set Handicap: Xinran Sun (-1.5) vs Claire Liu (+1.5) — Xinran Sun24%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Claire Liu in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Claire Liu.
- This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
