PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityOther 50%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$46.1K
Liquidity
$304.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 48.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+24.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 7, 26, 5:10 PMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Other50%
Also available on Manifold Markets
USA stage of elimination at fifa World Cup?
17d
3%
33.2%
30.4%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.9K
24h Vol$570
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated.
- If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated.
- If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.