This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Current implied probability
USA 39%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$42.3K
Liquidity
$410.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spread7d Change
+3.0%
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Dec 6, 25, 12:15 AMJun 27, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
39%
38%
18%
9%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Limitless
FIFA World Cup Group D Winner
15d
38.5%
17.5%
9.4%
+1 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.6
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Kalshi
Group D Winner
1.0%30d
-1.0%9%
-1.0%39%
36%
+1 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.2K
24h Vol$1.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
- If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
- If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.