PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Mexico (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Mexico 100%+39.5ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$79.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-33.5 pts
Market data
Updated 37 days ago
StaleDec 6, 25, 12:06 AMJun 27, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
South Africa1%
South Korea0%
Mexico100%
Czechia4%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Mexico
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall67% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $281.1K | $9.6K | 38 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $79.3K | $0 | 37 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Group A Winner
38.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Mexico (99%)
+38.0pt97.1%
-35.0pt1%
-3.0pt1%
+1 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$281.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
- If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$27.6KSpain: 18%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby
$18.7KLincoln Red Imps advances: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$9.2KCape Verde: 1%KALSHI
KALSHISlovan Bratislava vs Iberia
$6.2KSlovan Bratislava advances: 98%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$750Yes: 9.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
$500USA: 10.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Grayscale files for Worldcoin ETF as WLD price breaks higherCrypto News
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
- If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.