Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: European Union
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
European Union 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 3, 21, 12:00 AMNov 17, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
USA0%
European Union100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether the United States of America or the named outcome will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16, 2021.
- This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for the United States and the named outcome, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer.
- The resolution source will be reviewed on November 17th at 11 PM ET and - if the data for November 16 will not be available then - checked again every 12 hours, until the final check on November 22, 2021, 11 PM ET.
- If the data is not available by then, this market will resolve based on other credible sources for the day of November 16.
- If the United States of America has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of November 16, 2021, the market will resolve to "USA." If the the named outcome has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of November 16, 2021, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." If the averages per capita are the same, the market will resolve 50/50. --------------------
- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide.