When does Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter? resolve?

Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2022.

Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 179 days ago

Stale

Sep 20, 22, 12:00 AM UTCOct 27, 22, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Macro-Sensitive Assets

Rules

If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q3 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2022.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
The BEA's GDP release for Q3 of 2022 is scheduled for October 27, 2022.
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".