Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 2, 2023, 7:33 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleSep 12, 23, 6:17 PMOct 2, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between Sep 1 and October 2, 2023, 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.
- The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? resolve?
- Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? is scheduled to resolve on October 2, 2023.
- How is Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between Sep 1 and October 2, 2023, 12:00 PM ET.