When does Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? resolve?

Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2024.

Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 20, 2024, 7:01 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 182 days ago

Stale

Jan 11, 24, 12:46 AM UTCJan 20, 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.
If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.