Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2024, 7:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJan 11, 24, 12:46 AMJan 20, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.
- If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown.
- The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? resolve?
- Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2024.
- How is Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET.