Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022?
Weather
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleMay 11, 22, 12:00 AMJun 1, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
Tropical storms are given names as soon as they display a rotating circulation pattern and wind speeds of 39 miles per hour (63 kilometers per hour).
- A tropical storm develops into a hurricane when wind speeds reach 74 mph (119 kph).
- Hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and ends on November 30 each year.
- The lists of hurricane names for each season are chosen by the World Meteorological Organization (not The Old Farmer’s Almanac).
- The first storm in the 2022 season shall be named "Alex".
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 1st named storm in 2022 (Alex) for the NOAA Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico Region forms within the market's timeframe and to "No" otherwise.
