What are the current odds for Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Oct 24, 2023, 1:00 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Oct 11, 23, 5:14 PMOct 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one American hostage currently held by Hamas is rescued by the U.S. by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A rescue is defined as a successful operation or negotiation that results in the release and safe return of an American hostage.
The rescue operation or negotiation must be attributed to the U.S. and be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements.
If a rescue operation results in the return of at least one American hostage before the expiry date, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

Report a data issue with this market

Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Oct 24, 2023, 1:00 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Oct 11, 23, 5:14 PMOct 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one American hostage currently held by Hamas is rescued by the U.S. by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A rescue is defined as a successful operation or negotiation that results in the release and safe return of an American hostage.
The rescue operation or negotiation must be attributed to the U.S. and be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements.
If a rescue operation results in the return of at least one American hostage before the expiry date, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31??: Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? resolve?: Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2023.
How is Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one American hostage currently held by Hamas is rescued by the U.S. by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.