Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Oct 24, 2023, 1:00 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 187 days ago

Stale

Oct 11, 23, 5:14 PM UTCOct 31, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

Won

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one American hostage currently held by Hamas is rescued by the U.S. by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A rescue is defined as a successful operation or negotiation that results in the release and safe return of an American hostage.
The rescue operation or negotiation must be attributed to the U.S. and be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements.
If a rescue operation results in the return of at least one American hostage before the expiry date, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

Frequently asked questions