Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:19 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Oct 9, 23, 11:57 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. officially states that Iran was directly involved, beyond just funding organizations and proxies, in the recent attack on Israel on or before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

The statement must be made by a U.S. government official and should be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements.
If no such statement is made by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No".
If a statement is made before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:19 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Oct 9, 23, 11:57 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

The statement must be made by a U.S. government official and should be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements.
If no such statement is made by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No".
If a statement is made before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? resolve?: Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
How is Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. officially states that Iran was directly involved, beyond just funding organizations and proxies, in the recent attack on Israel on or before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.