Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
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Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleSep 16, 21, 12:00 AMNov 22, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether the United States will report a 7-day average of under 75,000 COVID-19 cases between September 15, 2021 and November 15, 2021 inclusive.
- This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order).
- The resolution source will be reviewed once daily at 8 PM ET, to see if the United States reported a 7-day COVID-19 case average between September 15 and November 15 inclusive of below 75,000.
- If an average below 75,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later.
- If it is still under 75,000 at that point, the market will be resolved.
- If it is 75,000 or above, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.