Will the Ronin Network hacker return 90% or more of exploited funds by April 14?
EthereumPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probabilityNo 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleMar 29, 22, 12:00 AMApr 14, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Related Cryptos
Rules
On 3/23/2022 two Ronin Network validator nodes were exploited for approximately 173,600 ETH and 25.5M USDC, as can be seen here: https://etherscan.io/tx/0xc28fad5e8d5e0ce6a2eaf67b6687be5d58113e16be590824d6cfa1a94467d0b7 and https://etherscan.io/tx/0xed2c72ef1a552ddaec6dd1f5cddf0b59a8f37f82bdda5257d9c7c37db7bb9b08
- The wallet Ronin within which the exploited funds sit can be found here: https://etherscan.io/address/0x098b716b8aaf21512996dc57eb0615e2383e2f96
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ronin Network hacker returns at least 90% of the exploited funds to Ronin by April 14, 2022 11:59:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise.
- Any official announcements by Ronin (https://roninblockchain.substack.com/, https://twitter.com/Ronin_Network, etc) will be sufficient to resolve this market, as well as transactions from the hacker that return the funds to whichever relevant party or parties as determined by Ronin.
- For the purposes of this market, 90% or more of the exploited funds means 160,000 ETH or more.
- If other cryptocurrencies/currencies are sent instead, then at the time they were sent if their conversion into ETH totaled 160,000 ETH or more, it will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes.”
