What are the current odds for Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.

Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Nov 18, 2023, 7:00 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 147 days ago

Stale

Nov 10, 23, 8:20 PMNov 17, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

On November 10, 2023, Poloniex was hacked for around $120 million dollars. Shortly afterwards Justin Sun tweeted to the unknown hacker that they have 7 days to return the funds before engaging law enforcement (see https://twitter.com/justinsuntron/status/1722951876986204259).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 80% of the money hacked from Poloniex is returned by Nov 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Poloniex and Justin Sun, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Nov 18, 2023, 7:00 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 147 days ago

Stale

Nov 10, 23, 8:20 PMNov 17, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 80% of the money hacked from Poloniex is returned by Nov 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Poloniex and Justin Sun, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
When does Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? resolve?: Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? is scheduled to resolve on November 17, 2023.
How is Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: On November 10, 2023, Poloniex was hacked for around $120 million dollars. Shortly afterwards Justin Sun tweeted to the unknown hacker that they have 7 days to return the funds before engaging law enforcement (see https://twitter.com/justinsuntron/status/1722951876986204259).