Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Sep 19, 2023, 6:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleSep 18, 23, 4:49 PMSep 20, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
On Sunday, September 17, 2023, a pilot ejected from an F-35 which subsequently went missing: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/f-35-fighter-jet-missing-pilot-ejects-mishap-rcna105534
- If this F-35 is located by September 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that any individual piece of the missing F-35 be located.
- If there is any ambiguity as to whether a part or the whole of the F-35 has been found within the market timeframe, this market may remain open until a definitive determination has been made.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by the US Government or the United States Armed Forces, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? resolve?
- Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2023.
- How is Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: On Sunday, September 17, 2023, a pilot ejected from an F-35 which subsequently went missing: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/f-35-fighter-jet-missing-pilot-ejects-mishap-rcna105534