Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 18, 21, 12:00 AMDec 25, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether The James Webb Space Telescope will be launched successfully on or before the resolution time, December 24 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- The James Webb Space Telescope will be launched on an Ariane 5 rocket from Arianespace's ELA-3 launch complex at European Spaceport located near Kourou, French Guiana.
- This market will resolve to "Yes", if - according to the resolution sources - the James Webb Space Telescope launches before the resolution time. "Launches" will mean that the telescope lifts off the ground and reaches outer space (past the Karman line) in "one piece" (i.e. did not explode) before the resolution time.
- Note that the market will still resolve to "Yes" if the telescope is still attached to a rocket, as long as the aforementioned criteria are satisfied.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, if for any reason, the launch is postponed after the resolution time, this market will resolve to "No".