What are the current odds for Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Apr 22, 21, 12:00 AMMay 20, 21, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This is a market on whether the Ever Given container ship (IMO: 9811000, MMSI 353136000) will be allowed to exit the Great Bitter Lake area, where it is currently being held by Egyptian authorities in the Suez Canal, by May 20, 2021, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purpose of this market, exiting the Great Bitter Lake area will mean that the Ever Given has a latitude higher than 30.43000 N (i.e. about a mile north of the northern tip of Great Bitter Lake) or lower than 30.15000 N (i.e. about a mile south of the southern tip of the Little Bitter Lake), by the resolution date, May 20, 2021, 12:00 PM ET.
The resolution source for this for this market will be the Ever Green’s latitude and longitude coordinates, as tracked by Vessel Finder and displayed in their “Position & Voyage Data” table (https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/EVER-GIVEN-IMO-9811000-MMSI-353136000).

Report a data issue with this market

Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Apr 22, 21, 12:00 AMMay 20, 21, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

For the purpose of this market, exiting the Great Bitter Lake area will mean that the Ever Given has a latitude higher than 30.43000 N (i.e. about a mile north of the northern tip of Great Bitter Lake) or lower than 30.15000 N (i.e. about a mile south of the southern tip of the Little Bitter Lake), by the resolution date, May 20, 2021, 12:00 PM ET.
The resolution source for this for this market will be the Ever Green’s latitude and longitude coordinates, as tracked by Vessel Finder and displayed in their “Position & Voyage Data” table (https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/EVER-GIVEN-IMO-9811000-MMSI-353136000).

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? resolve?: Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? is scheduled to resolve on May 20, 2021.
How is Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market on whether the Ever Given container ship (IMO: 9811000, MMSI 353136000) will be allowed to exit the Great Bitter Lake area, where it is currently being held by Egyptian authorities in the Suez Canal, by May 20, 2021, 12:00 PM ET.