Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 23, 2024, 9:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleDec 6, 23, 11:18 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 90 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2024 release is published. If no release is published by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? resolve?
- Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
- How is Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster.