Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Feb 4, 2023, 9:46 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleFeb 3, 23, 5:10 PMFeb 6, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Chinese spy balloon" reported floating over US territory is destroyed, downed, or otherwise grounded by any means by February 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The balloon's destruction, downing, or grounding will trigger a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether it occurs naturally or artificially. If the balloon lands in or is otherwise downed into the ocean, it will trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the governments of the United States of America and/or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? resolve?
- Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? is scheduled to resolve on February 6, 2023.
- How is Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Chinese spy balloon" reported floating over US territory is destroyed, downed, or otherwise grounded by any means by February 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".