What are the current odds for Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

May 6, 22, 12:00 AMJun 7, 22, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is below 50,000 in the US for any day ranging from May 6, 2022 to May 31, 2022 inclusive, and “No” otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.
To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average below 50,000.
These daily checks will occur from May 7, 2022 to June 7, 2022 (inclusive).
If an average below 50,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later.
If it is still under 50,000 at that point, the market will be resolved.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

May 6, 22, 12:00 AMJun 7, 22, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is below 50,000 in the US for any day ranging from May 6, 2022 to May 31, 2022 inclusive, and “No” otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.
To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average below 50,000.
These daily checks will occur from May 7, 2022 to June 7, 2022 (inclusive).
If an average below 50,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later.
If it is still under 50,000 at that point, the market will be resolved.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? resolve?: Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? is scheduled to resolve on June 7, 2022.
How is Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is below 50,000 in the US for any day ranging from May 6, 2022 to May 31, 2022 inclusive, and “No” otherwise.