Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 147 days ago

Stale

May 6, 22, 12:00 AMAug 8, 22, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 200,000 in the US for any day ranging from May 5, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.

To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 200,000. These daily checks will occur from May 5, 2022, to August 8, 2022 (inclusive). If an average above 200,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still above 200,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 200,000 or below, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 147 days ago

Stale

May 6, 22, 12:00 AMAug 8, 22, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 200,000. These daily checks will occur from May 5, 2022, to August 8, 2022 (inclusive). If an average above 200,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still above 200,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 200,000 or below, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
When does Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? resolve?: Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? is scheduled to resolve on August 8, 2022.
How is Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 200,000 in the US for any day ranging from May 5, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.