Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Apr 26, 22, 12:00 AMAug 8, 22, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 100,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 26, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is the CDC: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.
To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 100,000.
These daily checks will occur from April 26, 2022, to August 8, 2022 (inclusive).
If an average above 100,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later.
If it is still above 100,000 at that point, the market will be resolved.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Apr 26, 22, 12:00 AMAug 8, 22, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 100,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 26, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is the CDC: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases.
To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 100,000.
These daily checks will occur from April 26, 2022, to August 8, 2022 (inclusive).
If an average above 100,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later.
If it is still above 100,000 at that point, the market will be resolved.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022??: Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? resolve?: Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? is scheduled to resolve on August 8, 2022.
How is Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 100,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 26, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise.