Will SVB fail?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 10, 2023, 7:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleMar 10, 23, 12:00 AMMar 17, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes."
- Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SVB fail??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will SVB fail? resolve?
- Will SVB fail? is scheduled to resolve on March 17, 2023.
- How is Will SVB fail? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.