Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 15, 22, 12:00 AMNov 22, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
On November 14, 2022, the former CEO of imploded crypto exchange FTX Sam Bankman-Fried began a cryptic tweet storm with "1) What", continuing with a cryptic string of letters and numbers that has resolved into him talking about his plans for the future.
- You can find the beginning of the specified tweet storm here: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1591989554881658880?s=20&t=I88xL8vlc7EQ28ECMbH_EA
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's tweet storm starting with the tweet above is 23 tweets or longer by November 22, 2022, 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that only tweets which are replies in the specified thread will count; separate tweets will not be considered.
- This market may resolve immediately to "Yes" as soon as there are 23 or more tweets in the thread.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? resolve?
- Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? is scheduled to resolve on November 22, 2022.
- How is Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: On November 14, 2022, the former CEO of imploded crypto exchange FTX Sam Bankman-Fried began a cryptic tweet storm with "1) What", continuing with a cryptic string of letters and numbers that has resolved into him talking about his plans for the future.