Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
On November 14, 2022, the former CEO of imploded crypto exchange FTX Sam Bankman-Fried began a cryptic tweet storm with "1) What", continuing with a cryptic string of letters and numbers that has resolved into him talking about his plans for the future.
- You can find the beginning of the specified tweet storm here: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1591989554881658880?s=20&t=I88xL8vlc7EQ28ECMbH_EA
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's tweet storm starting with the tweet above is 23 tweets or longer by November 22, 2022, 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that only tweets which are replies in the specified thread will count; separate tweets will not be considered.
- This market may resolve immediately to "Yes" as soon as there are 23 or more tweets in the thread.