Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
On November 23, 2022 SBF tweeted "I’ll be speaking with @andrewrsorkin at the @dealbook summit next Wednesday (11/30)." (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1595512579417378837)
- If Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) physically appears at the New York Times (NYT) DealBook Summit, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market "physically appears" means that SBF appears on the premises of the conference in-person.
- Any telecommuting or streamed/prerecorded appearance at the conference will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes"
- If the NYT DealBook Summit is rescheduled to occur on any date up to December 14, 2022, this market may resolve normally according to the rules as-written.