Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 14, 22, 12:00 AMFeb 15, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market asks whether Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) will set foot in the United States between December 13, 2022, and February 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- If SBF sets foot in the United States between December 13, 2022 and February 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, "setting foot in the United States" is defined as SBF physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States.
- Setting foot on US territories such as Guam and Puerto Rico will count for this market.
- If SBF sets foot in a United States embassy, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Whether or not SBF enters United States airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? resolve?
- Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? is scheduled to resolve on February 15, 2023.
- How is Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market asks whether Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) will set foot in the United States between December 13, 2022, and February 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.